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I think it'll be a disaster if there isn't at least a somewhat solid platform. If it's "Trump just wingin' it act three" vs. "sounds of crickets chirping as establishment candidates stare awkwardly at a camera" then it'll be a train wreck. If someone comes prepared, it's potentially game on. But that really remains to be seen.

I think the best possibility for the primary may involve some brokering backstage and a 70/30 praising of Trump's past achievements a la Mao while adopting a new trajectory, as that might flatter Trump out of splitting the general... Though two years is a long way out in politics. I don't think it's impossible that voters could simultaneously entertain the notions that Trump had been done dirty in 2020 and the 2022 raid, but also that he isn't the best pick going forward. But that really requires someone else in the party to have a strong platform for going forward.

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