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I think DeSantis did so well in his re-election due to all the factors Josh mentioned, not some. He’s was great with riling up the base. He opposed Covid restrictions, got too much federal aid so he could raise teacher pay and cut taxes, and most of all the Democratic Party down here is indeed hapless (made some recent gains, though). So he’s savvy, but it’s clearly showing that this is his first presidential campaign. His insular nature and struggle to empathize is coming back to bite him. It’s seems like he and Casey are also major control freaks, and you just can’t run a presidential campaign like that. I think his lack of empathy helps him be the culture warrior he is and do some of the reprehensible things he’s done (see using vulnerable migrants in Texas as political pawns), but it’s manifesting as a weakness now as he tries to connect with voters across the country. If he does indeed lose, he will have deserved it as far as I’m concerned.

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